AP Oscar predictions: What will win, what should win
Posted Feb 19, 2019 04:53:31 PM.
This article is more than 5 years old.
Ahead of Sunday’s 91st Academy Awards, Associated Press film writers Lindsey Bahr and Jake Coyle share their predictions for a ceremony with few sure things.
BEST PICTURE
The Nominees: “Black Panther,” ”BlacKkKlansman,” ”Bohemian Rhapsody,” ”The Favourite,” ”Green Book,” ”Roma,” ”A Star Is Born,” ”Vice”
BAHR:
Will Win: “Roma”
Should Win: “A Star Is Born”
COYLE:
Will Win: “Roma”
Should Win: “Black Panther”
BEST ACTRESS
The Nominees: Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”; Glenn Close, “The Wife”; Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”; Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”; Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
BAHR:
Will Win: Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Should Win: Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
COYLE:
Will Win: Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Should Win: Glenn Close, “The Wife”
BEST ACTOR
The Nominees: Christian Bale, “Vice”; Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”; Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”; Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”; Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
BAHR:
Will Win: Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Should Win: Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
COYLE
Will Win: Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Should Win: Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
The Nominees: Amy Adams, “Vice”; Marina de Tavira, “Roma”; Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”; Emma Stone, “The Favourite”; Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
BAHR:
Will Win: Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Should Win: Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
COYLE:
Will Win: Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
Should Win: Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
The Nominees: Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”; Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”; Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”; Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”; Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
BAHR:
Will Win: Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Should Win: Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
COYLE
Will Win: Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Should Win: Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
DIRECTOR
The Nominees: Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”; Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”; Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”; Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”; Adam McKay, “Vice”
BAHR:
Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma”
Should Win: Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
COYLE
Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma”
Should Win: Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Nominees: “The Favourite,” Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara; “First Reformed,” Paul Schrader; “Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly; “Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón; “Vice,” Adam McKay
BAHR
Will Win: “The Favourite”
Should Win: “The Favourite”
COYLE
Will Win: “Green Book”
Should Win: “First Reformed”
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Nominees: “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Joel Coen , Ethan Coen; “BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee; “Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty; “If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins; “A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
BAHR
Will Win: “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Should Win: “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
COYLE
Will Win: “BlacKkKlansman”
Should Win: “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs”
DOCUMENTARY
The Nominees: “Free Solo,” Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi; “Hale County This Morning, This Evening,” RaMell Ross; “Minding the Gap,” Bing Liu; “Of Fathers and Sons,” Talal Derki; “RBG,” Betsy West, Julie Cohen
BAHR
Will Win: “RBG”
Should Win: “Minding the Gap”
COYLE:
Will Win: “Free Solo”
Should Win: “Hale County This Morning, This Evening”
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The Nominees: “Capernaum” (Lebanon); “Cold War” (Poland); “Never Look Away” (Germany); “Roma” (Mexico); “Shoplifters” (Japan)
BAHR
Will Win: “Cold War”
Should Win: “Cold War”
COYLE
Will Win: “Roma”
Should Win: “Shoplifters”
ANIMATED FEATURE
The Nominees: “Incredibles 2,” ”Isle of Dogs,” ”Mirai,” ”Ralph Breaks the Internet,” ”Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,”
BAHR
Will Win: “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”
Should Win: “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”
COYLE
Will Win: “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”
Should Win: “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”
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Follow Lindsey Bahr on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/ldbahr and Jake Coyle at http://twitter.com/jakecoyleAP
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You can find a fuller version of this story here: http://apne.ws/sQSzzJW
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For full coverage of the Oscars, visit: https://apnews.com/AcademyAwards
Lindsey Bahr And Jake Coyle, The Associated Press
